AWRA 2009 Spring Specialty Conference

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CONFERENCE OPENING PLENARY SESSION
Monday / May 4 / 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Welcome and Opening Remarks

Gerald Sehlke
President, American Water Resources Association
Idaho National laboratory, Idaho Falls, ID

Michael R. Lilly
Conference General Chair
GW Scientific, Fairbanks, AK

Horacio A. Toniolo
Conference Technical Program Chair
University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK


Keynote Speaker

Larry Hartig ( bio )
Commissioner
State of Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation
Juneau, AK
"Climate Change in Alaska, How Do We Meet the Challenges Ahead?"

John Walsh, Ph.D. ( bio )
President’s Professor of Climate Change & Chief Scientist,
International Arctic Research Center,
University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
"Climate Change and the Arctic Hydrologic Cycle"

SESSION 1: Regional Watershed Responses I

Watershed-Scale Response to Climate Change: Feather River Basin, California
Kathryn Koczot, U.S. Geological Survey, San Diego, CA

Integrated Watershed Scale Response to Climate Change in Selected Basins Across the United States
Steve Markstrom, Lauren E. Hay

Watershed-Scale Response to Climate Change
Mark Mastin

Simulated Watershed Scale Snowmelt and Ground-water Recharge Trends from 1960- to 2099 for Basins Draining to Long Island Sound: Hydrologic Response to Climate Change
David Bjerklie, Thomas J. Trombley, Lauren E. Hay, Steven L. Markstrom

SESSION 2: Balancing Water and Energy Resources

Integrated Management of Water and Energy Resources
Kristine Shaw, Peter Newell

Assessing Hydrologic Vulnerability of Sierra Nevada Watersheds with Climate Warming Conditions and Hydropower Operations
David E. Rheinheimer, Joshua H. Viers, Jay R. Lund, Jeffrey F. Mount, Vishal Mehta

Potential Water Constraints on Energy Production in the Colorado River Basin Under Climate Change Scenarios
Timothy McPherson, Michael Rivera, David Judi, Darrin Visarraga

Oil Shale Development in the Western United States: Water Resources Challenges, Impacts and Solutions
Steven Burian, Eric Jones, Ramesh Goel, Andy Hong, Liang Li, Zhixiong Cha, Beth Dudley-Murphy, Greg Nash

SESSION 3: Transboundary and International Water Management I

Geospatial Mapping and Analysis of Water Availability-Demand-Use within the Mara River Basin
Christina Hoffman, Assefa Melesse, Michael McClain

Water Resources in Sudan
Maria E. Milanes-Murcia

Addressing Climate Change in Outflow Management Studies of the Great Lakes
Anthony Eberhardt

Sustainability of Irrigated Agriculture in the Yaqui River Basin, México
Jose Luis Minjares Lugo, Roberto F. Salmon Castelo, Juan B. Valdes, Lucas A. Oroz Ramos, Raúl López-Zavala

SESSION 4: Regional Watershed Responses II

Watershed Scale Response to Climate Change: Flint River Basin, Georgia
Lauren Hay, Steven L. Markstrom   

Watershed Scale Response to Climate Change-South Fork Flathead River, Montana
Katherine Chase  

Climate Change: A Tale of Two Colorado Ski Areas
William Battaglin, Lauren Hay, Steven Markstrom  

Watershed Scale Response to Climate Change: Sagehen Creek, California
Steve Regan, Steven L. Markstrom, Lauren E. Hay, Richard Niswonger

SESSION 5: Policy and Management I

Climate Change, Water Resources Management, and Planning: A Federal, Interagency Collaboration
Julie Kiang, J. Rolf Olsen, Kathleen White, Levi Brekke, Roger Pulwarty, David Raff, D. Phil Turnipseed, Robert Webb   

Engaging Water Resource Managers in the Policy Dialogue on Aquatic Invasive Species
Jennifer Conner  

Saving All the Pieces, Staying Grounded (Climate, Water, Soil, Cities)
John Wiener  

Reducing Our Carbon Footprint One Step at a Time - A Municipal Prospective
Wendy Kemp

SESSION 6: Water Quality I

Water Quality Effects of Fire Retardant Application in a Small Tundra Lake near Hughes Alaska
Ben Kennedy   

Mercury Distribution In Water and Biota in Diverse Southeast Alaskan Watersheds
Sonia Nagorski, Daniel Engstrom, John Hudson, Eran Hood, David Krabbenhoft, John DeWild, George Aiken

Watershed Yields of Organic Matter and Nutrients in Southeast Alaska as a Function of Glacial Coverage
Durelle Scott, Eran Hood, Jason Fellman, Rob Spencer, Rick Edwards, Dave D'Amore

Modeling Water Quality Impacts of Ethanol Corn Production in the Upper Mississippi River Basin
Paul Hummel, Anthony Donigian, Jr., David Wells, Roberta Parry

SESSION 7: Regional Watershed Responses III

Analyzing the Effects of Climate, Landuse, and Management Changes in a Chesapeake Bay Watershed
Paul Hummel, John L. Kittle, Jr., Thomas E. Johnson   

Watershed Scale Response to Climate Change: Sprague River Basin, Oregon
John Risley, Lauren Hay, Steve Markstrom

Assessing Climate-Change Impacts on the 2-Year Flood in Selected Basins Across the United States: A Probabilistic Approach Using Ensembles of Climate Model Predictions
John Walker, Michael D. Dettinger, Lauren E. Hay, Stephen L. Markstrom  

Monitoring Headwater Streams for Landscape Response to Climate Change
Matt O'Connor

SESSION 8: Policy and Management II

Climate Change Decision Support Tools for Water Managers
George Smith   

Management of Agricultural Water Resources under Uncertainty for the Dual Purposes of Conservation and Enhancement
Venkatesh Uddameri, E. Annette Hernandez

The Implications of Climate Change on the Ohio River and the Ohio River Valley Water Sanitation Commission
Gerald Schulte  

An Overview of AWRA’s National Water Policy Dialogue - Gerald Sehlke, Idaho National Laboratory, Idaha Falls, ID

SESSION 9: Water Quality II

Stream Temperature Monitoring Network for Alaska's Salmon Streams
Sue Mauger, Jeff Davis, Gay Davis

Climate Warming in California's Sierra Nevada: Potential Water Temperature Impacts and Resiliency
Sarah Null, Joshua H. Viers, Jeffrey Mount, Michael L. Deas, Stacy K. Tanaka  

Projecting the Impact of Climate Change and Urbanization on the Temperature of Surface Runoff Into Cold-Water Streams
Ben Janke, William R. Herb, Omid Mohseni, Heinz G. Stefan

Variability, Seasonality, and Persistence of Fecal Coliform Bacteria in Alaska Urban and Semi-Urban Streams
William Schnabel

SESSION 10: Addressing Uncertainty with Models I

Incorporating the Uncertainty of Climate Change Predictions into a Watershed Modeling
Suresh Hettiarachchi, Ted Shannon, Jeff Christopherson, Scott Zilka, Matt Redington

The Value of Uncertain Irrigation Water Deliveries
Mohamed Said Gheblawi  

Digital Elevation Data for Hydrologic Applications: Computational Efficiency in Two-Dimensional Modeling
David Judi, Timothy McPherson, Steven Burian  

Global Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Hydrologic, Spatially Distributed Watershed Models - Application to the Regional Simulation Model
Zuzanna Zajac, Rafael Munoz-Carpena

SESSION 11: Managing Arctic Watersheds I

Streamflow Estimation in Arctic Watersheds with Sparse Data Sets
Douglas Kane, E. K. Youcha, E, D, Trochim, M. R. Lilly, H. A. Toniolo   

Hydrologic Responses of Catchments with Warm Permafrost
Larry Hinzman  

Trends in Streamflow in the Yukon River Basin from 1944 to 2005 and the Influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Tim Brabets

Upper Kuparuk River Snow Distributions for Hydrological Analysis in Arctic Alaska
Sveta Berezovskaya, Glen Liston, Douglas Kane

SESSION 12: Erosion and Sediment Transport

Fire Recovery Watershed Runoff Modeling in Warm Springs Creek, Idaho: Developing a Better Model and Implications for a Changing Climate
Jonathan Ambrose, Rob Richardson   

Modeling Sediment Impacts of Training Activities on Military Installations: Approach and Baseline Model Results
Anthony S. Donigian Jr, John C. Imhoff, Anurag Mishra, Parick N. Deliman, Eileen Regan  

Alaska Erosion: Assessing Vulnerability of Alaska's Coastal and Riverine Communities
Christy Miller, David Broadfoot  

Glacier Dammed Lakes Impacting Different Alaskan Drainages After 30 Years
Dave Wolfe

SESSION 13: Aquatic Ecosystem Impacts 1

Integrating Spatially Explicit Watershed Models with In-Stream Habitat Models: A Discussion on Constraints with Regard to the Resolution of the Data
Barnali Dixon, J. Earls, A.F. Casper, and J.A. Gore   

Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Ability to Maintain Sreamflows to Sustain the Trout Fishery in the Upper Carson River
John Tracy  

Implications of Climate Change for Okanagan Basin Water Availability and Salmonid Restoration Planning
Clint Alexander, Kim Hyatt, Stacy Langsdale, Margot Stockwell

SESSION 14: Addressing Uncertainty with Models II

Drought Management Implications for Irrigated Agriculture in Georgia - Mark Masters, Flint River Water Policy Center -
Albany State University, Albany, GA  

Linking RISA Scientists and Water Resource Managers: Climate Science & Water Management
Christine Kirchhoff   

HydroGeoSphere Application to Evaluate Basin-Scale Integrated Surface-Subsurface Water Flow and Transport Systems in the Central Valley of California
George Matanga, C. Mary Kang, Lorri Peltz-Lewis, Lisa Rainger, Rob McLaren, Don DeMarco

Can We Use Hydrologic Models Calibrated With Past Data For Climate Change Impact Studies?
Annie Poulin, François P.Brissette, Robert Leconte

SESSION 15: Managing Arctic Watersheds II

Application of Reservoirs in the Arctic to Reduce Future Water Use Uncertainty
Horacio Toniolo, Michael Lilly  

Arctic Lakes and Water Use, Separating Natural Variability from Water Use
Michael R. Lilly

Current and Future Evaporative Losses from North Slope Lakes
Bill Schnabel, Michael Lilly, Amy Tidwell, Horacio Toniolo

Two Distinct Mechanisms of Lake Hydrological and Chemical Change Along the Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska
Christopher Arp, Benjamin M. Jones, Frank E. Urban, Joel A. Schmutz

SESSION 16: Urban Hydrology

How Climate Change Impacts Urban Runoff and Water Quality Design
John Hayes, C. V. Privette, III, S. J. Klaine   

Managing Water Supplies and Quality in a Highly Urbanized Basin
Bruce Lytle, Frank P. Jaeger

SESSION 17: Aquatic Ecosystem Impacts II

Intrinsic Potential: A Tool for Identifying Salmon Habitat at the Landscape Scale
Tom Miewald, Gordon H. Reeves, Kelly M. Burnett, Analisa Noel McKay, Matthew Goslin, Lee E. Benda, Allison Bidlack, Erica McCall

Linking North Slope Climate, Hydrology, and Fish and Wildlife Management
Erica Betts, Amy Tidwell, Jeff Adams, Philip Martin   

Variability and Adaptation in British Columbia's Freshwater Ecosystems
Katherine Wieckowski, Marc Neltiz, Marc Porter, Katrina Bennett, Todd Hatfield, Katy Bryan, Dave Marmorek  

Temporal Patterns and Spatial Variability in North Carolina Piedmont Stream Temperature
Johnny Boggs, G. Sun, S.G. McNulty, W. Swartley, E. Treasure, W. Summer

SESSION 18: Addressing Uncertainty with Models III

Climate Change Adaptation of Stormwater Management Systems Charging Water Suppliese
Latham Stack, Michael Simpson, Thomas Crosslin, Derek Sowers, Colin Lawson   

Weather Modification and Climate Variability Impacts on Streamflow
Haroon Stephen, Cody Moser, Oubeid Aziz, Glenn Tootle  

Monthly Precipitation Prediction Using Cyclostationary EOF and an AR model
Gwangseob Kim, Ming Dong Sun, Kun Yeun Han

Adapting Water Management Programs to Climate Change at the Toronto and Region Conservation Authority
Ryan Ness, Don Haley

SESSION 19: Changing Precipitation Patterns?

Closing the Loop of Climate Feedback in the Design of Large-Scale Water Resources Project
Faisal Hossain, Indu Jeyachandran, Abebe Sine Gebregiorgis   

Flood Frequency Analysis in Light of Climate Variability and Change
Amy Tidwell, Greta Myerchin   

Anaylsis of Impact Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall in Korea Using A2 Climate Scenario and Extreme Indices
Byung-Sik Kim, BoKyung Kim, Hyun-Han Kwon, Seok-Yong Yoon (ABSTRACT 

The Impact of Stochastic Weather Generator Characteristic on Daily Precipitation Downscaling
Pao-Shan Yu, Shien-Tsung Chen, Chin-Yuan Lin  

SESSION 20: Impacts to Ground Water

Climate Change and Potential Impacts on Groundwater Levels Along the Rio Grande
Kelly Isaacson, Julie Coonrod  

Building Coupled Ground-Water/Surface-Water Models to Simulate Climate Change
Randall J. Hunt, John Doherty, John F. Walker, Steven M. Westenbroek, Lauren E. Hay  

The Potential Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater Recharge: with Particular Emphasis on the Impact on Florida
Frederick Bloetscher, Tara M. Bardi  

SESSION 21: Changing Everglades Management?

Climate Change Considerations for Everglades Restoration
Stuart Appelbaum

Climate Change Concerns for Everglades Restoration Planning
Glenn Landers  

Everglades Water-Quality in an Uncertain Future
Stuart Muller  

Linking Saltwater Intrusion With Impacts to Bald Cypress (Taxodium Distichum) Swamp in the Floodplain of the Loxahatchee River Using Dynamic Factor Modeling
David Kaplan, Rafael Muñoz-Carpena, Axel Ritter

SESSION 22: Addressing Uncertainty with Models IV

Survey of NOAA Downscaling Approaches and Application
Lynn E. Johnson, Timothy Schneider   

An Automated Statistical Downscaling Approach for Hydrologically-Based Climate-Change Studies Across the Nation
Christian Ward-Garrison, Lauren E. Hay, Steven L. Markstrom  

Coupled Surface-Water/Ground-Water Model Response to Climate and Land-Use Change: Black Earth Creek, Wisconsin
Stephen Westenbroek, Randall J. Hunt, Lauren E. Hay, Steve L. Markstrom  

Development of a Distributed Hydrological Model for Accurate Estimation of Watershed Response
Kun-Yeun Han, Gwangseob Kim, Keuksoo Kim

SESSION 23: Changing Drought Conditions?

Price and Rate-Structure Modifications as Drought and Climate Variability Management Tools for an Urban Water Utility
David Rosenberg   

Monitoring the Effects of Climate Change on Springs, Seeps and Other Water Resources in the Mojave National Preserve
Boris Poff, Debra Hughson  

Development of a Climate Forecast Decision Support Tool Using Stakeholder Involvement for Assessing and Examining Drought Risks and Water Management Strategies for the Upper Rio Hondo Basin, NM
Thomas Lowry, Jesse D Roach, Vincent C Tidwell, Elizabeth H Richards

SESSION 24: Economic, Engineering and Science Impacts

Assessment of Learning Experiences of Undergraduate Researchers in an NSF/REU Site on Watershed Sciences and Engineering
Vinod Lohani, Tamim Younos  

NASA's Applied Science Program
Ted Engman, Steven Ambrose, Jared Entin, David Toll  

Spatially-explicit Economic Impact Assessment of Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Willamette River
Heejun Chang, Ilwon Jung, Brian Block, Sarah Praskievicz  

SESSION 26: Water Supply Management I

Conventional and Decentralized Water Supply Infrastructure: Energy Consumption and Carbon Footprint
Tamim Younos, Caitlin Grady, Teresa Chen, Tammy Parece   

Managed Flow Regimes and Climate Change in the Colorado River
Michael Rivera, Dave Judi, Tim McPherson

Using Projected Climate Information to Plan for Future Water Supplies
Mariza Costa-Cabral, Sujoy B. Roy, Limin Chen  

Water Supply Utilities and Climatic Change: the Central Texas Experience
Laura Stroup, Kevin Romig

SESSION 27: Increased Flooding and Flood Management?

Potential Impacts of Increases in Rainfall Intensity on the Lower Rio Grande
Susanna Glaze, Bobby J. Creel, Christopher Brown   

The 2008 Tanana River Flood: Where Did All the Water Come From?
Edward Plumb

Managing Future Floods Today: A Framework for Sustainable Risk Management
Adam Hosking, Jerry Sparks, Peter von Lany  

Protecting London from Tidal Flooding: Limits to Adaptation
Luke Lovell, Tim Reeder, Jonathan Wicks, Owen Tarrant

SESSION 28: Changing Climate Impacts on Water Resources and People I

Climate Change, Water Impacts, and Indigenous Peoples: Engaging Native Knowledge in Cross-Regional Comparison between Alaska, the Pacific Islands, and the American Southwest
Sarah Trainor, Jolene Tallsalt-Robertson, Cheryl Anderson, Dan Ferguson, Gregg Garfin  

Coastal Erosion in Alaska: Planning for the Future
Bruce Sexauer

Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Agent-Based Modeling Tools for Assessing Human-Hydrological Systems
Andrew Kliskey, Lilian Alessa, Mark Altaweel

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation of the Péribonka River Water Resources System (Quebec, Canada)
Marie Minville, Francois Brissette, Stephane Krau, Robert Leconte

SESSION 29: Water Supply Management II

Onsite Graywater Reuse: Treatment and Climate
Joe Yelderman, Nathan Griswell

Water Management With Wastewater Treatment and Reuse, Desalination, and
Conveyance to Counteract Climate Change in Gaza
Ahmed Al-Jaidi, David Rosenberg, Jagath J. Kaluarachchi

Comparing Methods to Investigate the Impacts of Climate Change
Rene Roy, Georges Desrochers, Luc Roy, Guenther Pacher, Frédéric Guay, Dominique Tapsoba

The North Slope Decision Support System for Water Resources Planning and Management
Stephen Bourne, Kelly Brumbelow, Amy Tidwell, Bill Schnabel

SESSION 30: Changing Streamflow and Water Availability

Projected River Ice Cover Changes By Mid-Century In Southern British Columbia
Paul Doyle, Jeptha Ball   

Risk Informed Planning - Hubbard Glacier Dam Induced Flood Near Yakutat Alaska
David Williams, George A Kalli

Estimates of Mean Annual Freshwater Discharge Into the Gulf of Alaska (1960-1990)
Eran Hood, K. M. Smikrud, E.G. Neal  

Statistical Implications of Global Warming for Water Yield - A Case Study
Qiang (Charles) Luo

SESSION 31: Changing Climate Impacts on Water Resources and People II

Effect of Downscaling Methods on the Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change in Watershed Scale Management Models
Shimelis Setegn, Assefa M. Melesse, Karim Abbaspour, Bijan Dargahi, Ragahavan Srinivasan

Natural Disasters and Extreme Climate Events: Impacts and Implications for Water Resources Management
Chennat Gopalakrishnan, Jason K. Levy

Inter-state Water Agreements in Federal Countries. A Comparative Analysis
Maria E. Milanes-Murcia

Managing Water Resources in Florida in an Uncertain Future
Mikel Renner

SESSION 32: Changing Water Demand and Uncertainty I

Potential Impacts of Climate Change and Population Growth on U.S. Water Supply and Demand in the Next 50 Years
Ge Sun, Steven G. McNulty, Jennifer A. Moore Myers, Erika C. Cohen, Robert Herring   

Estimating Water Use in El Paso County Texas Based on GIS and Remote Sensing Imagery for the Past 30 Years
Jiao Wang, Nate Currit  

Management of Water Resources under Uncertainty in a Changing Climate
E. Annette Hernandez, Venkatesh Uddameri

Climate Change and Adaptive Drought Operations Planning in Water Supply
Steve Thurin, Emily Larson Flanagan

SESSION 33: Changing Energy and Water Balances

Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on the Energy and Water Balance of a North Temperate Lake
John Lenters, Kathleen D. Holman, Jun Wang  

The Importance of Air Mass Condition on Energy Fluxes at a Coastal Arctic Wetland
Anna Liljedahl, Larry Hinzman, Yoshinobu Harazono, Donatella Zona, Walter C. Oechel  

Glacier Variability in the Wind River Range and Teton Range, Wyoming, USA
Derrick Thompson, Jake Edmunds, Glenn Tootle, Jeb Bell, Greg Kerr  

Implementation of a GRTS Survey Design for Monitoring the Impacts of Climate Change on Aquatic Resources in Alaskan National Parks
Trey Simmons

SESSION 34: Changing Climate Impacts on Water Resources and People III

Developing a Framework to Assess Stream Flow from Global Climate Change Projections
William Samuels, Rakesh Bahadur, M. Elena Herrera, David E. Amstutz   

Addressing Climate Change in Long-Term Water Resource Plans
David Groves, Robert Lempert  

Economic Demand for Irrigation Water and Climate Change
Bryce Contor  

Assessing Potential Impacts of and Prioritizing Response to Global Climate Change: A Methodology and Action Plan for Water, Wastewater, or Stormwater Utilities
Amy Carlson

SESSION 35: Changing Water Demand and Uncertainty II

AWRVI: An Integrated Water Resource Vulnerability Index for the Arctic
Andrew Kliskey, Lilian Alessa   

Erosion of Water Supply Predictability under Climate Change?
Levi Brekke, Kevin Werner, Donald Laurine, David Garen  

Hydroclimatic Change on the Salt and Verde Watersheds, Arizona
Timothy Hawkins

SESSION 36: Changing Impacts on Reservoir Management

HGS-M - A Tool to Conjunctively and Dynamically Simulate Hydrologic Processes and Multi-reservoir Systems for Evaluation of Climate Change Impacts
Mary Kang, Varut Guvanasen, Kirk Nelson, George Matanga   

Southeast Alaska Hydropower: Reconsidering Climate Variability and Change in the Development Process
Jessica Cherry, Amy Tidwell, Nancy Fresco, Sue Walker

SESSION 37: Changing Ecosystems

Is the Mountain Pine Beetle Infestation in Colorado Due to Climate Change
Michael McHugh, Laurel Stadjuhar, Kristina Wynne  

Recent Woody Invasion of Wetlands on the Kenai Peninsula Lowlands, South-Central Alaska; A Major Regime Shift After 18,000 Years of Wet Sphagnum-Sedge Peat Recruitment
Edward Berg, Kacy McDonnell, Roman Dial, Allana DeRuwe

Forest Fuel Moisture Disturbances Across the United States in Response to Climate Change and Variability
Yongqiang Liu  

Predominate Selection of Low Water Using Trees in California Communities Would Preserve the State's Water Resources
David Dudley